{"id":13489,"date":"2023-08-21T20:29:12","date_gmt":"2023-08-21T20:29:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/isafespend.com\/investing\/property-giant-files-for-bankruptcy-fed-weighs-more-rate-hikes\/"},"modified":"2023-08-21T20:29:13","modified_gmt":"2023-08-21T20:29:13","slug":"property-giant-files-for-bankruptcy-fed-weighs-more-rate-hikes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/isafespend.com\/?p=13489","title":{"rendered":"Property Giant Files For Bankruptcy, Fed Weighs More Rate Hikes"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\"><strong>TL;DR<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Chinese property giant Evergrand has filed for bankruptcy after notching losses of $81 billion (yes, with a B) over the past two years<\/li>\n<li>The Fed\u2019s meeting minutes have been released, and it suggests that more hikes aren\u2019t off the table if inflation begins to creep back up<\/li>\n<li>Even if things are looking super peachy, at Q.ai we\u2019ve got Kits for every eventuality. The Recession Resistance Kit is your go-to should markets turn sour<\/li>\n<li><strong>Top weekly and monthly trades<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>Subscribe to <\/em><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/refer.tryq.ai\/F9o3fQiyLrb\">the Forbes AI newsletter<\/em><em> to stay in the loop and get our AI-backed investing insights, latest news and more delivered directly to your inbox every weekend. And <\/em><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/refer.tryq.ai\/EOjGrwTsHyb\">download Q.ai today<\/em><em> for access to AI-powered investment strategies.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\"><strong>Major events that could affect your portfolio<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The U.S. market has had its worst week in quite some time, and there are a number of different factors at play. One of the major issues which has reared its head again is the challenges facing the Chinese property market.<\/p>\n<p>This isn\u2019t the first time we\u2019ve heard of this, and in fact the situation has been bubbling along for a number of years now. Chinese property behemoth Evergrande first defaulted on a debt repayment back in 2021, and this week they have finally filed for Chapter 15 Bankruptcy in the U.S.<\/p>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"><\/fbs-ad><\/p>\n<p>It comes just a matter of weeks after they announced losses of $81 billion over the past two years. That\u2019s\u2026a lot.<\/p>\n<p>The collapse of Evergrande has been touted as China\u2019s \u2018Lehman Brothers moment,\u2019 foreshadowing a potential collapse in the Chinese real estate sector, which has undergone a multi-decade boom fueled by borrowing and speculation.<\/p>\n<p>As with the United States own property collapse (which recently saw the final fraud case of that era settled by UBS), there have been concerns that a real estate crash in China could spread to the rest of the world, given the interconnectedness of the global economy and the fact that the real estate sector makes up around 30% of China\u2019s GDP.<\/p>\n<p>The main conduit for potential \u2018contagion\u2019 would be the bond markets, with large scale defaults on debt having the potential to impact asset managers and their clients (investors) all over the world. As of right now that doesn\u2019t seem to be an immediate concern, but it\u2019s definitely a story for investors to keep an eye on.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n<p>So there\u2019s a bit of general nervousness about the situation in China nagging at markets, but there are issues at home adding to that feeling.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve been talking about inflation and interest rates a lot over the past year, and unfortunately, it doesn\u2019t look like we\u2019re going to be able to stop anytime soon. Because while inflation has come down substantially and is now hovering around the Fed\u2019s target range, the release of the FOMC\u2019s latest meeting minutes show that they\u2019re not confident they\u2019ve given it the boot for good.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSignificant upside risks to inflation could require further tightening of monetary policy\u201d was the key excerpt that got markets worried. While it might seem like a fairly benign statement, it showed that the Fed sees the possibility for inflation to spike again, and that they wouldn\u2019t hesitate to hike rates further.<\/p>\n<p>This comes after headline annualized inflation rose from 3% in June to 3.2% in July.<\/p>\n<p>Why is this a potential problem for investors? Well it\u2019s no secret that the cycle of rate hikes has been tough for business and consumers alike. We\u2019ve seen the cost of debt go through the roof while prices for almost everything have been pushed higher.<\/p>\n<p>So far the economy has remained pretty resilient in the face of these increases, but many of the positives from company earnings have been as a result of layoffs and efficiency improvements. There\u2019s only so far that can go before falling revenue means falling profit, and many companies slashing their forecast numbers.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\"><strong>This week\u2019s top theme from Q.ai <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>All of this is to say that there are some dark clouds on the horizon, but right now it\u2019s not clear if the storm is going to sail past while we watch in the distance, or if we\u2019re going to be hit with a downpour and gale force winds.<\/p>\n<p>For investors that&#8217;s important, because the assets that perform the best during boom times are often not the ones which perform the best during a recession. When markets are good, it\u2019s growth assets which are positioned to provide the biggest returns.<\/p>\n<p>They tend to be higher risk, but with a strong economy there is plenty of money flowing around to keep them going. We only need to look at the low interest rate environment over the last ten years to see how access to cheap cash can lead to serious gains for investments. Particularly in the tech sector, we\u2019ve seen the VC playbook create multi-billion dollar companies without ever turning a profit.<\/p>\n<p>This changes during times of high interest rates and recessions, as funding dries up and demand slows. When that happens, growth slows and valuations follow. At the same time, slow and steady assets such as value stocks and bonds become the go to investments, providing a more stable base for investors to minimize losses, and maybe even make gains.<\/p>\n<p>This prospect of a changing economy is why we recently launched the Recession Resistance Kit. It won\u2019t give you rockets to the moon during boom times, but chances are it will hold up well if things get shaky.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\"><strong>Top trade ideas<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Here are some of the best ideas our AI systems are recommending for the next week and month.<\/p>\n<p><strong data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/e.email.forbes.com\/c2\/869:64df7587ef29ab6b0303e2f7:ot:61f0224d6e1a1d12115ecfbb:1\/8d4ee610?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&amp;jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE2OTI0MjE0MTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLmZvcmJlcy5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoiZm9yYmVzLWxpdmUiLCJtdGxJRCI6IjY0ZTA0Y2MyNWI4NGZkMTAzNDAzODcxMyIsImxpbmtVcmwiOiJodHRwczpcL1wvd3d3LmZvcmJlcy5jb21cL2NvbXBhbmllc1wvYnJvb2tkYWxlLXNlbmlvci1saXZpbmdcLz91dG1fc291cmNlPW5ld3NsZXR0ZXImdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249dGsmY2RsY2lkPTYxZjAyMjRkNmUxYTFkMTIxMTVlY2ZiYiJ9&amp;jwtS=L-J_OR8s0jj_HxOVAtrzDJvl-Ce6NyKCYLMpXEOz7Is\">Brookdale Senior Living (BKD)<\/strong><strong> <\/strong>\u2013 The retirement living company is our <strong>Top Buy for next week <\/strong>with our AI giving them an A rating in our Growth and Technicals factors. Revenue is up 7.9% over the last 12 months.<\/p>\n<p><strong data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/e.email.forbes.com\/c2\/869:64df7587ef29ab6b0303e2f7:ot:61f0224d6e1a1d12115ecfbb:1\/0b4aaec3?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&amp;jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE2OTI0MjE0MTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLmZvcmJlcy5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoiZm9yYmVzLWxpdmUiLCJtdGxJRCI6IjY0ZTA0Y2MyNWI4NGZkMTAzNDAzODcxNCIsImxpbmtVcmwiOiJodHRwczpcL1wvd3d3LmZvcmJlcy5jb21cL2NvbXBhbmllc1wvZnJlc2hwZXRcLz91dG1fc291cmNlPW5ld3NsZXR0ZXImdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249dGsmY2RsY2lkPTYxZjAyMjRkNmUxYTFkMTIxMTVlY2ZiYiJ9&amp;jwtS=NRuBy1IXqdqq5xgRx45NkPvvAG9qPJkq2VeSWkqnLvE\">Freshpet (FRPT)<\/strong><strong> <\/strong>\u2013 The pet food company is our<strong> Top Short for next week<\/strong> with our AI giving it an F rating in Quality Value and Technicals. Earnings per share was -$1.32 over the last 12 months.<\/p>\n<p><strong data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/e.email.forbes.com\/c2\/869:64df7587ef29ab6b0303e2f7:ot:61f0224d6e1a1d12115ecfbb:1\/6913977b?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&amp;jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE2OTI0MjE0MTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLmZvcmJlcy5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoiZm9yYmVzLWxpdmUiLCJtdGxJRCI6IjY0ZTA0Y2MyNWI4NGZkMTAzNDAzODcxNSIsImxpbmtVcmwiOiJodHRwczpcL1wvd3d3LmZvcmJlcy5jb21cL2NvbXBhbmllc1wvZXVyb25ldC13b3JsZHdpZGVcLz91dG1fc291cmNlPW5ld3NsZXR0ZXImdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249dGsmY2RsY2lkPTYxZjAyMjRkNmUxYTFkMTIxMTVlY2ZiYiJ9&amp;jwtS=WrJxSxegDIoe3xlEBCRoYcuQSIrrxTvOWp3qx1X_kTU\">Euronet Worldwide (EEFT)<\/strong><strong> <\/strong>\u2013 The payment services company is a <strong>Top Buy for next month<\/strong> with our AI rating them an A in Growth and Quality Value. Earnings per share is up 104.9% over the last 12 months.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Stanley Black &amp; Decker (SWK)<\/strong> \u2013 The tool company is a <strong>Top Short for next month <\/strong>with our AI giving them an F rating in Growth. Earnings per share was -$0.54 over the last 12 months.<\/p>\n<p>Our AI\u2019s <strong>Top ETF trades for the next month<\/strong> are to invest in fintech, industrials and healthcare and to short senior debt and U.S. value stocks. <strong>Top Buys<\/strong> are the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF, the Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF and the Invesco DWA Healthcare Momentum ETF. <strong>Top Shorts <\/strong>are the Invesco Senior Loan ETF and the Invesco FTSE RAFI US 1000 ETF.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\"><strong>Recently published Qbits<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Want to learn more about investing or sharpen your existing knowledge? Q.ai publishes Qbits on our Learn Center, where you can define investing terms, unpack financial concepts and up your skill level.<\/p>\n<p>Qbits are digestible, snackable investing content intended to break down complex concepts in plain English.<\/p>\n<p><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/refer.tryq.ai\/fyH0XBtc1wb\">Download Q.ai today<\/em><em> for access to AI-powered investment strategies.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/qai\/2023\/08\/21\/chinese-property-giant-files-for-bankruptcy-and-fed-weighs-further-rate-hikesforbes-ai-newsletter-august-19th\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TL;DR Chinese property giant Evergrand has filed for bankruptcy after notching losses of $81 billion (yes, with a B) over the past two years The Fed\u2019s meeting minutes have been released, and it suggests that more hikes aren\u2019t off the table if inflation begins to creep back up Even if things are looking super peachy,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[49],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-13489","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-investing"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.12 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Property Giant Files For Bankruptcy, Fed Weighs More Rate Hikes | iSafeSpend<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"TL;DR Chinese property giant Evergrand has filed for bankruptcy after notching losses of $81 billion (yes, with a B) over the past two years The Fed\u2019s\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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